List of Articles policy analysis

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  1 - Identifying the key factors affecting the application of forecasting in the field of policy making
  Sahar Kousari
  Policymakers should make policies for vague and uncertain futures. Policy makers make decisions for a vague and uncertain future. However, creating a suitable link between the concepts and methods of future studies with policymaking is one of the challenges that researc More

  Policymakers should make policies for vague and uncertain futures. Policy makers make decisions for a vague and uncertain future. However, creating a suitable link between the concepts and methods of future studies with policymaking is one of the challenges that researchers in the field of future studies and policymaking are facing. Future studies can be directly in the field of policymaking or indirectly through analysis. policy to be used. Policy-making and policy analysis in some countries such as Singapore, Great Britain, Japan, Finland, France, Germany, Australia, New Zealand and South Africa are carried out on the basis of future-based systematic studies. They have an important role in the policy-making process, but future research is not considered a part of policy-making. The purpose of this article is to identify factors that improve the relationship between future research and policy making. The identification of these factors has been done with the method of library studies and focus group. 70 factors improving the communication between the two fields of future studies and policy-making were identified, of which 8 factors specifically improve the relationship between policy analysis and future studies, which have the weakest relationship; These factors include: the level of uncertainty, the type of subjective judgment towards the future, the type of policy analysis, the conditions of the policy environment towards the future, the approach of the agents towards the future, the understanding of the system in facing future issues, the institutional conditions of openness to alternatives and Time perspective is about the future. After that, the alternatives of each of these factors have been extracted in order to expand the vision towards the future.. Manuscript profile
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  2 - The effect of local content requirements industrial policy in development of automotive industry in the global value chain: a comparative analysis of China and Mexico
  Fereshte Gholami Hosein Aslipour Gholamreza  Kazemian Saeed Zarandi
  With reference to comparative policy studies and the level of competitiveness throughout the global value chain (GVCs), the effect of related policies can be traced. This article aims at studying industrial policy of local content requirements (LCRs), which are among th More

  With reference to comparative policy studies and the level of competitiveness throughout the global value chain (GVCs), the effect of related policies can be traced. This article aims at studying industrial policy of local content requirements (LCRs), which are among the most prevalent as well as primary policiese used in any development model. This has been done to study the effect of LCRs on upgrading the position of a country’s automotive industry concerning GVCs through a variable- oriented approach. China and Mexico have been picked out in accordance with sample selection approach in the systems encompassing a great deal of similarities as well as the most similar outcomes. Further to the historical review of the development process of the automotive industry, the effect of this policy on the three indicators FVASH, REII and DVAFXSH has been carried out by logistic regression. These indicators determine the level of competitiveness throughout GVCs. The logistic regression shows a significant logit relationship between the LCRs policy status and the DVAFXSH variable, but no significant relationship is observed for the other two variables. The trend review also shows that after the implementation and removal of LCRs, the FVASH and REII indices have not changed much, but the DVAFXSH has increased, especially in Mexico.It shows that the systematic implementation of LCRs can have significant effects in upgrading the position of countries in GVCs in the automotive sector, through DVAFXSH. Manuscript profile
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  3 - Identifying the key factors affecting the using of futures studies in policy making
  Sahar Kousari
  20.1001.1.17352460.1402.19.73.8.2
  Sahar Kousari Abstract Policymakers should make policies for vague and uncertain futures. Considering that futurist have an important role in the policy-making process, but future- oriented research is not considered a part of policy-making. The purpose of this More

  Sahar Kousari Abstract Policymakers should make policies for vague and uncertain futures. Considering that futurist have an important role in the policy-making process, but future- oriented research is not considered a part of policy-making. The purpose of this article is to identify the factors that improve the futures field and policy-making relationship. The identification of these factors has been done with the method of library studies and focus groups. eight factors improving the communication between the two fields of future studies and policy-making were identified, of which eight factors specifically improve the relationship between policy analysis and futures studies, which have the weak relationship; These factors include: the level of uncertainty, the type of subjective judgment towards the future, the type of policy analysis, the conditions of the policy environment towards the future, the approach of the agents towards the future, the understanding of the system in facing futures issues, the institutional conditions of openness to alternatives and time horizonis about the future. After that, the alternatives of each of these factors have been extracted to expand the vision towards the future, which can be the basis of different scenarios of supportive decision-making models in future research. rs. Manuscript profile
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  4 - The effect of local content requirements industrial policy in development of automotive industry in the global value chain: a comparative analysis of China and Mexico
  Fereshte Gholami Hosein Aslipour Gholamreza  Kazemian Saeed Zarandi
  Fereshte Gholami Hossein Aslipour Gholamreza Kazemian Shirvan Saeed Zarandi Abstract With reference to comparative policy studies and the level of competitiveness throughout the global value chain (GVCs), the effect of related policies can be traced. More

  Fereshte Gholami Hossein Aslipour Gholamreza Kazemian Shirvan Saeed Zarandi Abstract With reference to comparative policy studies and the level of competitiveness throughout the global value chain (GVCs), the effect of related policies can be traced. This article aims at studying industrial policy of local content requirements (LCRs), which are among the most prevalent as well as primary policiese used in any development model. This has been done to study the effect of LCRs on upgrading the position of a country’s automotive industry concerning GVCs through a variable- oriented approach. China and Mexico have been picked out in accordance with sample selection approach in the systems encompassing a great deal of similarities as well as the most similar outcomes. Further to the historical review of the development process of the automotive industry, focusing on the LCRs policy, the effect of this policy on the three indicators FVASH, REII and DVAFXSH has been carried out by logistic regression. These indicators determine the level of competitiveness throughout GVCs. The logistic regression shows a significant logit relationship between the LCRs policy status and the DVAFXSH variable, but no significant relationship is observed for the other two variables. The trend review also shows that after the implementation and removal of LCRs, the FVASH and REII indices have not changed much, but the DVAFXSH has increased, especially in Mexico.It shows that the systematic implementation of LCRs can have significant effects in upgrading the position of countries in GVCs in the automotive sector, through DVAFXSH. Manuscript profile